Thoughts on the 2024 election

Thought 1 – an Opportunity for thinker status

There were four basic outcomes to the election to wit

• Trump wins Electoral vote – wins Popular vote
• Trump wins Electoral vote – loses Popular vote
• Harris wins Electoral vote – wins Popular vote
• Harris wins Electoral vote – loses Popular vote

I would greatly upgrade my opinion of any thinker who published essays on how each particular outcome happened the day before the election. The current Monday morning quarterbacking is getting a little silly.

Thought 2 – Legibility

It seems that with the current wealth of data available on the country at large and demographic groups in particular, the electorate is actually getting less legible, particularly the not as online parts of the electorate. This advantages a more instinctive, intuitive style of politics, i.e. Trump. The side that relies more on quantitative data will be further away from the voter’s concerns than the side that goes with their gut.